Innovation: Slowly and Suddenly

There is a paper written by a number of Google employees from 2017 entitled All You Need is Attention. Yet OpenAI was the first to leverage transformer architecture at scale and into the general public. As I opened Chrome today to the promise of AI helping me to write “better,” among other improvements to Chrome, it still just seems lagging.

Paying 20 dollars a month for chat GPT4, for a few months is fine as I finish reading papers, learning proper prompt “engineering” techniques which is more about how to write. GenAI remains a starting place, one that begins and ends with human interaction and judgment.

RFID technology took years to develop from a niche technology looking for a purpose to being integrated into every aspect of our commercial and consumer lives. I listened to a capital markets leader say that GenAI will take decades to evolve into something useful. I doubt that. Yet Kevin Kelly already realized in 1985 that photos and videos are evidence of nothing

I do believe that large organizations regardless of their roots lose their ability to innovate from technology to business application as it requires faster iteration than can be managed in a large organization. I also don’t believe that I’ll have to pay 20 dollars a month for AI to be useful to me on a practical level.